FC Lugano vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
54.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
LAU
2 - 1
LUG
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
FCL
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ZUR
3 - 0
LUG
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 4
YOB
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
STG
3 - 0
LUG
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 0
SIO
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
LAU
1 - 1
BAS
20%
24%
57%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 0
BAS
30%
25%
46%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |