FC Lugano vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
LUG
2 - 1
KRI
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
SOL
0 - 0
LUG
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
LUG
3 - 1
NEX
20%
26%
54%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
YOB
1 - 1
LUG
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1997 |
FCL
3 - 0
LUG
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1998 |
BAS
3 - 6
NEX
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
YOB
2 - 2
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
BAS
4 - 2
KRI
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
SOL
2 - 3
BAS
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
FCL
0 - 1
BAS
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +2 |