Lugano II vs Winterthur II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LUG
1 - 1
ESC
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
TUG
3 - 2
LUG
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LUG
0 - 2
LUZ
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SCB
1 - 0
LUG
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCG
50%
23%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
WIN
1 - 2
TUG
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
LUZ
2 - 1
WIN
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
WIN
0 - 1
SCB
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
WIN
3 - 1
BUO
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FCG
1 - 1
WIN
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |