Lugano II vs Taverne analysis


42	ELO	38
1.5%	Tilt	5.7%
4065º	General ELO ranking	5873º
43º	Country ELO ranking	73º
ELO win probability

51.5%

Lugano II

23.8%

Draw

24.7%

Taverne

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

51.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%

23.8%

Draw

0-0

5.9%

1-1

11.3%

2-2

5.4%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

23.8%

24.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+23%

+5%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

55

1º

4º

2º

34

2º

11º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

11º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	65	65	1º	100%
2º	55	56	2º	89%
4º	52	53	3º	34.5%
3º	53	53	4º	45.5%
5º	50	50	5º	100%
6º	42	42	6º	26%
7º	40	41	7º	0%
8º	40	41	8º	29.5%
9º	37	38	9º	53%
10º	36	37	10º	20.5%
11º	34	35	11º	25.5%
12º	33	34	12º	21.5%
13º	32	33	13º	47%
14º	31	32	14º	70%
15º	28	29	15º	100%
16º	24	25	16º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion play-offs	89%	0%
Mid-table	11%	100%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lugano II

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Sep. 2022	WIN 1 - 2 LUG 56% 22% 22%	40	44	4	0
04 Sep. 2022	LUG 3 - 1 ESC 42% 23% 35%	39	39	0	+1
28 Aug. 2022	KOS 1 - 2 LUG 32% 23% 46%	38	32	6	+1
24 Aug. 2022	LUG 1 - 2 LIN 36% 25% 40%	39	42	3	-1
13 Aug. 2022	HON 0 - 5 LUG 37% 24% 39%	38	36	2	+1

Matches

Taverne

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 Sep. 2022	TAV 0 - 0 FCW 27% 26% 48%	39	46	7	0
07 Sep. 2022	TAV 0 - 5 BEL 6% 14% 80%	39	62	23	0
03 Sep. 2022	FRE 0 - 2 TAV 65% 18% 18%	37	39	2	+2
28 Aug. 2022	TAV 2 - 1 FCP 15% 23% 63%	35	49	14	+2
20 Aug. 2022	FCG 4 - 2 TAV 45% 22% 32%	36	33	3	-1