Switzerland Fourth Division Final
Global 3-1
Lugano II vs Solothurn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 1
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 0
VEV
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
VEV
0 - 1
LUG
53%
23%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 1
LUG
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 1
FCP
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Solothurn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 1
LUG
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FCM
2 - 2
SOL
28%
23%
50%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
SOL
3 - 1
FCM
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CON
2 - 2
SOL
46%
22%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SOL
3 - 0
BLA
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |