Lugano II vs Rapperswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
46.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
LUG
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 0
MEN
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 4
CHI
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
GCB
2 - 1
LUG
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
LUG
1 - 4
LUZ
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Rapperswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
RAP
2 - 2
TUG
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
LUZ
2 - 1
RAP
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
RAP
0 - 2
CHI
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 0
RAP
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
RAP
5 - 1
ETO
63%
20%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |