Lugano II vs Hongg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FCG
3 - 0
LUG
48%
23%
28%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LUG
1 - 2
ESC
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
5 - 1
LUG
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
YFJ
3 - 1
LUG
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MEN
0 - 0
LUG
62%
22%
16%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
HON
0 - 6
YFJ
16%
21%
64%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
HON
1 - 4
ESC
17%
21%
62%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MEN
3 - 1
HON
60%
23%
18%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HON
0 - 4
LUZ
30%
24%
47%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
TUG
5 - 1
HON
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |