Lugano II vs SC Cham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
52.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ZUG
2 - 0
LUG
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 0
HON
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 1
LUG
62%
20%
17%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
0 - 0
FCW
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 1
LUG
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SC Cham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
GCB
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FCM
1 - 4
CHA
20%
22%
58%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
MEN
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
KRE
1 - 3
CHA
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 2
FCG
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |