Ludwigsfelder FC vs SV 09 Arnstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
16º
12º
21
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
92% | |
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
92% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 54 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
96.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
35% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
15º
|
44% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludwigsfelder FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 0
LFC
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LFC
0 - 1
EWD
41%
23%
37%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SVG
0 - 1
LFC
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LFC
1 - 1
GER
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 3
LFC
64%
20%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SV 09 Arnstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
0 - 1
AUE
27%
21%
51%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 0
SVA
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
4 - 4
VFL
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
EWD
0 - 0
SVA
66%
17%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 3
FSV
46%
21%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |