Europa League Round 5

Ludogorets vs PSV analysis

Ludogorets PSV
80 ELO 86
13.4% Tilt -1%
782º General ELO ranking 104º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
26.4%
Ludogorets
22.9%
Draw
50.7%
PSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
Ludogorets
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.7%
Win probability
PSV
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ludogorets
+19%
+11%
PSV

ELO progression

Ludogorets
PSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ludogorets
Ludogorets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2013
LUD
Ludogorets
3 - 0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
63%
21%
16%
79 73 6 0
17 Nov. 2013
BER
Beroe
1 - 1
Ludogorets
LUD
31%
27%
42%
80 73 7 -1
14 Nov. 2013
LUD
Ludogorets
2 - 1
Beroe
BER
66%
19%
14%
80 74 6 0
10 Nov. 2013
CSK
CSKA Sofia
0 - 2
Ludogorets
LUD
45%
26%
29%
79 79 0 +1
07 Nov. 2013
LUD
Ludogorets
1 - 1
Chornomorets Odessa
CHO
53%
24%
23%
79 81 2 0

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Nov. 2013
PSV
PSV
1 - 1
Heerenveen
SCH
68%
18%
14%
86 77 9 0
10 Nov. 2013
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 1
PSV
PSV
18%
22%
60%
87 71 16 -1
07 Nov. 2013
PSV
PSV
2 - 0
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
61%
21%
18%
86 84 2 +1
02 Nov. 2013
PSV
PSV
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
76%
15%
9%
86 74 12 0
30 Oct. 2013
PSV
PSV
1 - 3
Roda JC
RJC
76%
15%
9%
87 70 17 -1