A PFG Round 4

Ludogorets vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis

Ludogorets Lokomotiv Sofia
79 ELO 71
11.1% Tilt 11.6%
782º General ELO ranking 2009º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
65.3%
Ludogorets
20.4%
Draw
14.2%
Lokomotiv Sofia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
Ludogorets
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.3%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Sofia
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ludogorets
+18%
+24%
Lokomotiv Sofia

ELO progression

Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Sofia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ludogorets
Ludogorets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2012
PIR
Gotse Delchev
0 - 2
Ludogorets
LUD
14%
23%
63%
79 62 17 0
19 Aug. 2012
LUD
Ludogorets
3 - 1
Beroe
BER
66%
21%
14%
79 71 8 0
11 Aug. 2012
CVA
Cherno More Varna
0 - 3
Ludogorets
LUD
36%
27%
37%
79 78 1 0
02 Aug. 2012
EVE
Everton Viña del Mar
1 - 1
Ludogorets
LUD
14%
20%
66%
80 58 22 -1
25 Jul. 2012
DZG
Dinamo Zagreb
3 - 2
Ludogorets
LUD
56%
23%
22%
80 84 4 0

Matches

Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2012
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
3 - 0
Botev Vratsa
BVR
69%
20%
12%
71 60 11 0
18 Aug. 2012
0 - 0
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
49%
27%
24%
71 70 1 0
12 Aug. 2012
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
1 - 1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
40%
26%
33%
71 75 4 0
01 Aug. 2012
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
0 - 1
Atromitos
ATR
52%
24%
24%
73 73 0 -2
28 Jul. 2012
HAP
Hapoel Ramat Gan
3 - 1
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
41%
26%
33%
73 69 4 0