Europa League Group C Round 4

Ludogorets vs HJK Helsinki analysis

Ludogorets HJK Helsinki
79 ELO 78
16.4% Tilt 12.7%
786º General ELO ranking 919º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.8%
Ludogorets
22.8%
Draw
22.4%
HJK Helsinki

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
Ludogorets
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.4%
Win probability
HJK Helsinki
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ludogorets
+17%
+11%
HJK Helsinki

ELO progression

Ludogorets
HJK Helsinki
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ludogorets
Ludogorets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2022
LUD
Ludogorets
2 - 1
CSKA Sofia
CSK
54%
24%
22%
78 78 0 0
06 Oct. 2022
HJK
HJK Helsinki
1 - 1
Ludogorets
LUD
42%
25%
33%
79 78 1 -1
01 Oct. 2022
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
1 - 0
Ludogorets
LUD
22%
24%
54%
79 70 9 0
18 Sep. 2022
LUD
Ludogorets
1 - 1
Arda Kardzhali
ARK
65%
21%
15%
79 73 6 0
15 Sep. 2022
BET
Real Betis
3 - 2
Ludogorets
LUD
72%
17%
11%
79 89 10 0

Matches

HJK Helsinki
HJK Helsinki
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2022
HAK
FC Haka
0 - 1
HJK Helsinki
HJK
32%
27%
41%
78 71 7 0
06 Oct. 2022
HJK
HJK Helsinki
1 - 1
Ludogorets
LUD
42%
25%
33%
78 79 1 0
02 Oct. 2022
HJK
HJK Helsinki
3 - 0
Inter Turku
INT
54%
24%
21%
77 71 6 +1
29 Sep. 2022
HON
FC Honka
3 - 1
HJK Helsinki
HJK
37%
27%
36%
78 74 4 -1
18 Sep. 2022
HJK
HJK Helsinki
2 - 1
SJK
SEI
58%
24%
18%
78 70 8 0