Ludogorets vs Hebar Pazardzhik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
5º
1º
17
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 6
LUD
5%
11%
84%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
LUD
3 - 0
CSK
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
AND
2 - 0
LUD
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 2
LUD
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LUD
1 - 0
LPL
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hebar Pazardzhik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
HEB
31%
24%
46%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 0
FLK
35%
27%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CVA
1 - 0
HEB
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
LSO
4 - 0
HEB
67%
20%
12%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 1
BVR
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |