UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 3-1
Ludogorets vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
LUD
1 - 0
CHB
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
LUD
3 - 0
SBR
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
LYU
1 - 0
LUD
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
SBR
2 - 1
LUD
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
LUD
1 - 1
BER
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 0
SHI
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
SHI
1 - 1
PAR
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PAR
5 - 0
FKS
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
SME
0 - 2
PAR
9%
21%
70%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
CRV
57%
22%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |