Europa Conference League Group H Round 4

Ludogorets vs Fenerbahçe analysis

Ludogorets Fenerbahçe
79 ELO 85
21.3% Tilt 8.6%
769º General ELO ranking 197º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
34.4%
Ludogorets
24.4%
Draw
41.3%
Fenerbahçe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
Ludogorets
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.3%
Win probability
Fenerbahçe
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ludogorets
+17%
+10%
Fenerbahçe

ELO progression

Ludogorets
Fenerbahçe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ludogorets
Ludogorets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2023
LUD
Ludogorets
1 - 0
Levski Krumovgrad
FLK
72%
18%
11%
78 65 13 0
02 Nov. 2023
SSO
Slavia Sofia
0 - 2
Ludogorets
LUD
31%
26%
43%
78 75 3 0
29 Oct. 2023
LUD
Ludogorets
3 - 1
Hebar Pazardzhik
HEB
71%
18%
12%
78 69 9 0
26 Oct. 2023
FEN
Fenerbahçe
3 - 1
Ludogorets
LUD
73%
16%
12%
78 86 8 0
22 Oct. 2023
ARK
Arda Kardzhali
0 - 0
Ludogorets
LUD
45%
24%
31%
78 78 0 0

Matches

Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
FEN
Fenerbahçe
2 - 3
Trabzonspor
TRA
52%
22%
26%
85 85 0 0
29 Oct. 2023
PEN
Pendikspor
0 - 5
Fenerbahçe
FEN
22%
25%
53%
85 72 13 0
26 Oct. 2023
FEN
Fenerbahçe
3 - 1
Ludogorets
LUD
73%
16%
12%
86 78 8 -1
22 Oct. 2023
FEN
Fenerbahçe
4 - 2
Hatayspor
HAT
82%
12%
6%
85 70 15 +1
08 Oct. 2023
KAS
Kasımpaşa
0 - 2
Fenerbahçe
FEN
41%
24%
35%
85 79 6 0