Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
2º
5º
3º
67
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
75 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
82 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
67 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 3 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 5
LUD
20%
22%
58%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LUD
3 - 3
FLK
76%
16%
9%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
LUD
4 - 0
HEB
76%
15%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 3
LUD
22%
25%
52%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
LUD
2 - 0
ARK
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
CSK
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CSK
3 - 1
LSO
44%
27%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 3
CSK
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
BOT
41%
25%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CSK
1 - 2
OFK
65%
23%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |