Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
OFK
1 - 3
LUD
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
LUD
2 - 1
MFF
39%
25%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LUD
5 - 0
LSO
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
MFF
2 - 0
LUD
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
LUD
2 - 2
OLP
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 0
CVA
15%
23%
62%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CVA
0 - 1
CSK
41%
29%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CSK
2 - 3
CVA
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
CVA
0 - 0
LPL
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BER
0 - 2
CVA
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |