Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
SEP
0 - 3
LUD
21%
24%
55%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CSK
0 - 0
LUD
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
CSK
1 - 1
LUD
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
LUD
2 - 1
LPL
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FKV
0 - 1
LUD
9%
19%
72%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
LSO
1 - 0
CVA
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
CVA
4 - 1
BVR
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SSO
0 - 1
CVA
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ETA
1 - 0
CVA
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
CVA
0 - 2
CSK
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |