Ludogorets III vs Botev Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.8%
Win probability
3.84
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.9%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.3%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.1%
4-0
11%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
5.7%
2.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
11º
5º
12
11º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
LUD
15%
21%
64%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LUD
2 - 0
DOR
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UST
0 - 6
LUD
9%
15%
76%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LUD
6 - 2
LOR
95%
4%
1%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SVE
1 - 1
LUD
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 2
SEP
6%
20%
74%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CMV
5 - 0
BOT
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 3
CHE
4%
14%
81%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FKR
4 - 0
BOT
65%
17%
18%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 0
SGT
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |