Luctor Et Emergo vs Alverna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
59.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luctor Et Emergo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 1
HOO
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DEZ
2 - 1
LUC
35%
23%
42%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 2
GRO
38%
24%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
DUI
2 - 3
LUC
9%
16%
75%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 3
ARH
15%
20%
66%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ALV
1 - 0
TVC
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CON
0 - 3
ALV
18%
20%
63%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
RKH
2 - 1
ALV
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALV
0 - 3
FVC
51%
21%
27%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 0
ALV
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |