Luçon vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 4
LUC
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 1
MAN
59%
24%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 1
LUC
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 0
PAC
29%
28%
43%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 0
LUC
37%
26%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FON
1 - 2
VCH
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 0
FON
64%
22%
15%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FON
0 - 1
CON
59%
25%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
AVR
3 - 1
FON
54%
25%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FON
1 - 0
LAV
25%
29%
46%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |