Lucksta vs Kiruna FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
27%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
1º
5º
5º
2
5º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
4 | 23 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 23 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 20 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 20 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
2º
|
5 | 20 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
2 | 11 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 5 |
7º
|
83% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 67% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
LUC
2 - 1
BER
23%
20%
57%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
BOD
1 - 2
LUC
80%
12%
7%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
LUC
2 - 8
OST
16%
17%
68%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
LUC
1 - 2
KUB
52%
20%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
LUC
1 - 3
GIF
30%
22%
49%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Kiruna FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
KFF
1 - 3
BOD
17%
19%
64%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
TAF
3 - 0
KFF
37%
22%
41%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
PIT
2 - 1
KFF
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
KFF
1 - 1
BFC
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
SKE
0 - 0
KFF
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |