Serie A Round 24

Lucchese Libertas vs Torino analysis

Lucchese Libertas Torino
75 ELO 91
-9% Tilt -7.3%
2893º General ELO ranking 34º
104º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
22.7%
Lucchese Libertas
23.5%
Draw
53.8%
Torino

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
Lucchese Libertas
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
53.8%
Win probability
Torino
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lucchese Libertas
+16%
-2%
Torino

ELO progression

Lucchese Libertas
Torino
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lucchese Libertas
Lucchese Libertas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 1949
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 1
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
60%
20%
21%
75 76 1 0
23 Jan. 1949
ASL
Lucchese Libertas
1 - 0
Pro Patria
PRO
55%
21%
23%
75 74 1 0
16 Jan. 1949
MOD
Modena
4 - 0
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
47%
24%
29%
76 79 3 -1
09 Jan. 1949
TRI
Triestina
1 - 0
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
49%
24%
27%
76 79 3 0
05 Jan. 1949
ASL
Lucchese Libertas
5 - 1
Roma
ROM
51%
22%
26%
75 78 3 +1

Matches

Torino
Torino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jan. 1949
TOR
Torino
1 - 0
Livorno
LIV
88%
8%
4%
91 73 18 0
27 Jan. 1949
TOR
Torino
2 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
90%
7%
4%
91 81 10 0
23 Jan. 1949
ROM
Roma
1 - 2
Torino
TOR
24%
24%
53%
91 77 14 0
16 Jan. 1949
TOR
Torino
2 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
91%
6%
3%
91 76 15 0
09 Jan. 1949
PRO
Pro Patria
0 - 1
Torino
TOR
23%
24%
53%
91 75 16 0