Lucchese Libertas vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
PIS
1 - 0
ASL
60%
25%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
ASL
0 - 0
ASC
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
ASL
0 - 1
MOD
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
SPA
1 - 1
ASL
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
ASL
1 - 2
VNZ
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
TAR
2 - 0
SPA
51%
29%
20%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
BOL
3 - 0
TAR
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
TAR
1 - 1
LEC
34%
31%
35%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
PIA
2 - 0
TAR
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
TAR
1 - 1
USC
35%
32%
34%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |