Lucchese Libertas vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 1
ASL
37%
30%
33%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ASL
2 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ANC
2 - 0
ASL
42%
29%
29%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2007 |
PES
0 - 3
ASL
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ASL
1 - 1
CRO
42%
27%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2007 |
SAL
3 - 2
TAR
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CRO
0 - 0
SAL
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SAL
4 - 2
ARZ
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2007 |
SAL
1 - 1
GAL
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SSS
1 - 3
SAL
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |