Lucchese Libertas vs Renate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
55%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 2
ASL
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ASL
1 - 1
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASL
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ASL
1 - 0
PIA
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ASL
0 - 2
USA
20%
25%
54%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
REN
2 - 0
PRO
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
JS2
1 - 2
REN
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
PIS
56%
25%
18%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
OLB
2 - 2
REN
24%
27%
49%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
REN
4 - 0
GER
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |