Lucchese Libertas vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 2
ASL
40%
28%
32%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
ASL
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ASL
2 - 1
PES
20%
26%
54%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SIE
1 - 1
ASL
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ASL
2 - 2
ASG
32%
27%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
PIS
1 - 3
PES
18%
26%
57%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ASG
2 - 2
PIS
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PIS
1 - 0
MOD
15%
26%
58%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
ACD
3 - 1
PIS
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PIS
2 - 1
FER
42%
29%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |