Lucchese Libertas vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 0
ASL
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SIE
2 - 1
ASL
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 2
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LRO
0 - 2
ASL
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 1
SPA
27%
28%
45%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PIS
2 - 1
LRO
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
PIS
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PIS
0 - 1
SPA
23%
28%
50%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 1
PIS
75%
18%
8%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
PIS
3 - 1
LAQ
30%
26%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |