Lucchese Libertas vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
RAV
2 - 1
ASL
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
ASL
3 - 1
TOR
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
TRE
3 - 0
ASL
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
ASL
1 - 0
VER
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
VNZ
0 - 0
ASL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
GEN
3 - 1
VNZ
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
PAD
1 - 1
GEN
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
GEN
1 - 0
RAV
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
3 - 3
GEN
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
GEN
2 - 0
PRG
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |