Lucchese Libertas vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LRO
3 - 1
ASL
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ASL
0 - 1
PON
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ASL
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ASL
0 - 0
LIV
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ASL
3 - 1
TUT
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
COM
0 - 0
ACP
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
RCR
3 - 2
COM
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
COM
2 - 1
USA
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
COM
1 - 2
VNZ
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 1
COM
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |