Lucchese Libertas vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
GAV
1 - 0
ASL
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PIS
2 - 2
ASL
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIS
25%
30%
45%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
CUN
0 - 3
ASL
40%
28%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ASL
0 - 1
PIA
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
ARZ
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
GER
2 - 2
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
ACP
2 - 5
CAR
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
SIE
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ASS
4 - 0
CAR
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |