Lucchese Libertas vs ASD Cecina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ACS
0 - 1
ASL
17%
28%
55%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ASL
0 - 1
PIS
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
SOR
0 - 0
ASL
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ASL
2 - 0
VIR
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
TAR
2 - 0
ASL
47%
28%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
ASD Cecina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ASC
2 - 1
MON
19%
25%
56%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
CAR
4 - 0
ASC
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |