Lucchese Libertas vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
OLB
1 - 0
ASL
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
ASL
3 - 3
IMO
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASL
31%
28%
41%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
ASL
0 - 0
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ASL
0 - 0
GRO
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PON
0 - 5
ANC
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
ANC
1 - 1
PES
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ANC
3 - 1
VIS
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
TER
0 - 4
ANC
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ANC
3 - 2
SIE
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |