Lucchese Libertas vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
43.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 0
ASL
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ASL
1 - 2
ACP
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ASL
0 - 0
SIE
13%
23%
64%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
ASL
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ASL
3 - 0
LRO
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 1
MAC
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
ANC
34%
27%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 0
TER
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 0
LAQ
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 0
ANC
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |