Lucchese Libertas vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
CHI
2 - 2
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
USF
0 - 0
ASL
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
VER
0 - 0
ASL
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
ASL
2 - 1
BOL
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
FIA
0 - 0
ASL
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
ANC
4 - 2
REG
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
ANC
1 - 0
PAL
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
ANC
1 - 0
REG
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
GEN
2 - 1
ANC
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
CHI
1 - 0
ANC
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |