Lucchese Libertas vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
PRG
5 - 0
ASL
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
ASL
0 - 1
PES
47%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
GEN
2 - 1
ASL
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
REG
1 - 1
ASL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
ASL
0 - 0
PAL
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
CES
1 - 1
REG
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
GEN
2 - 1
CES
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
CES
4 - 2
CHI
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1995 |
REG
0 - 0
CES
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |