Luchador vs Sant Josep analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luchador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
JES
4 - 2
LUC
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 2
IBI
15%
19%
66%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IBI
0 - 1
LUC
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
6 - 1
LUC
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 2
INT
18%
20%
62%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sant Josep
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
JOS
2 - 2
FOR
34%
23%
43%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
INT
3 - 1
JOS
70%
17%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JOS
0 - 4
RAF
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PUI
3 - 1
JOS
13%
18%
69%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
JOS
2 - 1
IBI
10%
16%
75%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | +3 |