Luchador vs Penya Independent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
78.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luchador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 1
PES
74%
15%
12%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PES
0 - 5
LUC
34%
21%
44%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
BSA
3 - 3
LUC
13%
16%
71%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
LUC
2 - 0
BSA
82%
11%
7%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
LUC
3 - 2
SAN
59%
19%
23%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Penya Independent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PUI
0 - 4
PIN
6%
12%
83%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PIN
9 - 1
PUI
92%
6%
2%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PIN
7 - 1
PES
92%
6%
2%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
PES
1 - 6
PIN
5%
11%
84%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
BSA
1 - 6
PIN
4%
11%
85%
|
28 | 5 | 23 | 0 |