Lucero-Linces vs CDC Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
44.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucero-Linces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
RBR
2 - 1
LUL
46%
23%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LUL
1 - 3
IBT
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
VDO
1 - 1
LUL
23%
22%
56%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UCA
1 - 2
LUL
17%
20%
63%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LUL
2 - 1
ROZ
55%
20%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CDC Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
COM
6 - 1
UCA
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ROZ
0 - 4
COM
26%
21%
53%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
EFC
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MOB
0 - 1
COM
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
TVA
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |