Lucero-Linces vs Buenavista Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucero-Linces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
GIG
1 - 0
LUL
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LUL
1 - 3
ADL
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LCB
1 - 2
LUL
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LUL
2 - 0
ALU
51%
22%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SIL
1 - 0
LUL
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Buenavista Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BVC
6 - 3
PKP
56%
21%
23%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FER
3 - 2
BVC
51%
22%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BVC
0 - 0
EFC
34%
23%
43%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PIQ
6 - 1
BVC
45%
23%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BVC
4 - 1
PAA
51%
22%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |