Luceni CF vs Ariza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luceni CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
OLV
1 - 2
LUC
44%
24%
32%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LUC
1 - 2
EUR
46%
24%
30%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SAD
3 - 2
LUC
58%
22%
21%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CDC
1 - 1
LUC
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SAA
3 - 1
LUC
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ARI
3 - 4
MON
53%
20%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PRA
0 - 2
ARI
22%
20%
58%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ARI
0 - 0
RIC
58%
19%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 2
ARI
23%
19%
58%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ARI
5 - 0
TAU
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +2 |