Lucena vs Sangonera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 0
MAR
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
JER
0 - 0
LUC
25%
27%
48%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 2
CIU
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 1
LUC
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
AGD
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sangonera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
AGU
1 - 2
LOR
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 2
AGD
35%
28%
38%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ECI
4 - 0
LOR
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
LOR
0 - 0
SRQ
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SEV
2 - 0
LOR
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |