Lucena vs La Palma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
CCF
3 - 4
LUC
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
LUC
1 - 1
AYA
35%
27%
38%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1996 |
MON
2 - 0
LUC
67%
21%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
LUC
1 - 1
MAI
59%
24%
17%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
LUC
2 - 2
ICR
27%
26%
47%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
La Palma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
LAP
3 - 4
BAL
42%
27%
31%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
SFE
2 - 0
LAP
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 1996 |
LAP
0 - 0
CAD
56%
23%
22%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
UDR
0 - 1
LAP
19%
25%
57%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
AFC
5 - 0
LAP
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -3 |