Segunda B Round 2

Lucena vs UD Melilla analysis

Lucena UD Melilla
43 ELO 53
-12.8% Tilt -10%
18997º General ELO ranking 3922º
5827º Country ELO ranking 120º
ELO win probability
24.1%
Lucena
29%
Draw
46.8%
UD Melilla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
Lucena
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
46.8%
Win probability
UD Melilla
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Lucena
UD Melilla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lucena
Lucena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2007
ECI
Écija Balompié
1 - 1
Lucena
LUC
69%
20%
11%
41 55 14 0
27 May. 2007
SAN
At. Sanluqueño
1 - 2
Lucena
LUC
28%
29%
44%
40 29 11 +1
20 May. 2007
LUC
Lucena
4 - 2
Puerto Real CF
ARC
48%
27%
26%
39 37 2 +1
13 May. 2007
CCF
Chiclana CF
1 - 1
Lucena
LUC
30%
27%
42%
39 27 12 0
05 May. 2007
LUC
Lucena
3 - 1
Betis Deportivo
BET
29%
28%
44%
37 44 7 +2

Matches

UD Melilla
UD Melilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2007
MEL
UD Melilla
0 - 0
Talavera CF
TAL
39%
27%
33%
54 57 3 0
26 May. 2007
MEL
UD Melilla
0 - 0
Sevilla At.
SEV
33%
28%
38%
53 63 10 +1
20 May. 2007
CCF
Córdoba CF
1 - 2
UD Melilla
MEL
76%
16%
8%
52 62 10 +1
13 May. 2007
MEL
UD Melilla
2 - 1
RC Portuense
POR
36%
27%
37%
51 57 6 +1
06 May. 2007
MEL
UD Melilla
3 - 1
Marbella FC
MAR
43%
28%
30%
50 53 3 +1