Lucena vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
46.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ECI
1 - 1
LUC
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 2
LUC
28%
29%
44%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
LUC
4 - 2
ARC
48%
27%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CCF
1 - 1
LUC
30%
27%
42%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
LUC
3 - 1
BET
29%
28%
44%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 0
TAL
39%
27%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
MEL
0 - 0
SEV
33%
28%
38%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
CCF
1 - 2
MEL
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
MEL
2 - 1
POR
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
MEL
3 - 1
MAR
43%
28%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |