Lucena vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 2
LUC
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BAZ
0 - 0
LUC
49%
28%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
LUC
2 - 0
TAL
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
LUC
51%
28%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
LUC
3 - 1
ALG
55%
26%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 1
TAL
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
LOR
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
LOR
2 - 1
ALG
76%
17%
7%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 4
LOR
26%
30%
43%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 0
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |