Segunda B Round 31

Lucena vs Lorca Deportiva analysis

Lucena Lorca Deportiva
51 ELO 61
-15.9% Tilt -13.1%
18997º General ELO ranking 33560º
5827º Country ELO ranking 9322º
ELO win probability
26.4%
Lucena
29.6%
Draw
43.9%
Lorca Deportiva

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
Lucena
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
43.9%
Win probability
Lorca Deportiva
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Lucena
Lorca Deportiva
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lucena
Lucena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2008
GRA
Granada
1 - 2
Lucena
LUC
58%
24%
18%
50 53 3 0
15 Mar. 2008
BAZ
Baza
0 - 0
Lucena
LUC
49%
28%
24%
50 53 3 0
09 Mar. 2008
LUC
Lucena
2 - 0
Talavera CF
TAL
43%
27%
30%
49 47 2 +1
02 Mar. 2008
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 0
Lucena
LUC
51%
28%
22%
50 55 5 -1
24 Feb. 2008
LUC
Lucena
3 - 1
Algeciras CF
ALG
55%
26%
19%
49 43 6 +1

Matches

Lorca Deportiva
Lorca Deportiva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2008
LOR
Lorca Deportiva
1 - 1
Talavera CF
TAL
70%
19%
11%
61 47 14 0
15 Mar. 2008
RJA
Real Jaén
1 - 0
Lorca Deportiva
LOR
29%
29%
42%
62 54 8 -1
09 Mar. 2008
LOR
Lorca Deportiva
2 - 1
Algeciras CF
ALG
76%
17%
7%
62 41 21 0
02 Mar. 2008
ALC
CD Alcalá
2 - 4
Lorca Deportiva
LOR
26%
30%
43%
62 50 12 0
24 Feb. 2008
LOR
Lorca Deportiva
0 - 0
Mérida UD
MER
63%
21%
16%
62 55 7 0