Lucena vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
LUC
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAD
0 - 0
LUC
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 0
ECI
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 1
LUC
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 0
CPC
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
LOJ
0 - 0
ECI
30%
29%
41%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 0
LOJ
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LOJ
1 - 1
CPC
27%
28%
45%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
UCA
1 - 0
LOJ
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LOJ
2 - 1
BET
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |