Lucena vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
LUC
0 - 0
AGU
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
REC
0 - 3
LUC
24%
26%
51%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
LUC
3 - 1
SFE
57%
25%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
DHE
2 - 0
LUC
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
LUC
1 - 0
BAR
70%
20%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
JER
2 - 1
ARC
62%
23%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
AGU
1 - 0
JER
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
JER
5 - 0
COR
40%
28%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
REC
0 - 0
JER
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
JER
2 - 0
SJO
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |