Lucena vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
57.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
LUC
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LUC
0 - 0
BET
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 3
LUC
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 0
JER
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 3
LUC
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
POL
1 - 0
ECI
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SRQ
2 - 1
POL
17%
25%
58%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
POL
0 - 1
SEV
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
EST
0 - 0
POL
16%
25%
59%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
POL
0 - 0
PON
58%
23%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |