Lucena vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 2
LUC
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
LUC
0 - 0
BAL
32%
29%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
MON
1 - 1
LUC
34%
30%
36%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
LUC
0 - 0
UDT
68%
20%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
LUC
3 - 1
POZ
55%
25%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
SFE
1 - 1
CDR
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
ARC
1 - 2
SFE
19%
26%
55%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
SFE
3 - 1
DHE
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
AYA
2 - 2
SFE
21%
27%
52%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
CCF
0 - 1
SFE
37%
27%
36%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |