Lucena vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
ALG
2 - 1
LUC
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
LUC
2 - 0
SRQ
38%
27%
35%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
CDR
2 - 1
LUC
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
LUC
0 - 1
DHE
34%
27%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
LAP
3 - 0
LUC
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
SFE
8 - 0
RAM
87%
9%
3%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
UTR
4 - 2
SFE
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
POZ
0 - 1
SFE
45%
26%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
SFE
1 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
CDR
1 - 2
SFE
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |